Sunday, September 12, 2010


Agent-based model is a proposal for security practitioners as well as a tool for capacity building which could give more responsibility to Afghans for their own affairs just after the nine-year war with Taliban. The proposed model follows a concept of counter-insurgency in framework of security sector reform. It comes out of cognition that the application is about understanding how realistically planners analyze the change of security environment. The analysis highlighted tangible and observable way to assess security environment by local (Afghan) security sector institutions. Such adaptive model provides architecture which allows facilitating Karzai`s Afghan Government with wide range of operational agent networks. The model explicates some political (tribal), and social aspects of the non-combatant population and hinge on the competence of local security forces when reconciliation starts. The security sector management may use uncertainty absorption in advance to avoid turmoil once the NATO-led forces withdraw from the country.

Read more in Policy Paper prepared especially for 5th GLOBSEC Security Conference by JOZEF ULIAN, Slovak Researcher in Security, at :

1 comment:

DBennett said...

The issue of running private sector services (whether they be aid, development, or security) parallel to fledgling Afgan state institutions has come up a number of times in time the YATA Facebook group as well as on this blog. The truth is that Afghanistan's government institutions and security forces aren't well enough equipped or trained to ensure stability and keep the pressure on the Afghan Taliban - they require assistance, and not just financing or weapons, but actual in person assistance from practitioners. Due to political and economic reasons NATO military forces cannot continue to play this supporting role indefinitely so that void must be filled with in another way as they begin to leave.